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It was over in a matter of minutes, but the significance of the
occasion vastly exceeded its brevity. On Aug. 28, 20 demonstrators
gathered at a market in Burma's commercial capital, Rangoon, to
protest against the junta's decision to dramatically raise prices
of essential goods. Led by labor activist Su Su Nway, the crowd had
just begun to chant slogans when thugs employed by the ruling
generals swooped in and started dragging the protesters into
waiting vehicles. The frail Su Su Nway, who had only emerged from
prison last year after serving seven months for reporting cases of
forced labor to the U.N., was also manhandled by the mob of
security forces but managed to escape in a taxi chauffeured by a
sympathetic driver. "The junta is trying to create a very
intimidating environment," Su Su Nway told TIME shortly before she
evaded arrest. But the 34-year-old activist refuses to be
intimidated. "People must stand up," she says, "and choose between
freedom and oppression."
Many Burmese are doing just that. The short-lived rally in
Rangoon was one of 20 or so protests that in recent weeks have
erupted across Burma — a rare display of civil disobedience
by a people who have been ruled for 45 years by one of the world's
most reclusive, and repressive, military regimes. The last time
there were mass countrywide demonstrations, in 1988, the military
cracked down hard, killing thousands of protesters and dashing
hopes of democratic reform. Now daily life in this nation of 53
million has become so desperate that an impoverished populace may
feel it has little choice but to take to the streets again.
The current rallies were triggered by the junta's Aug. 15
diktat to hike fuel prices up fivefold, sending everything from
food to transportation costs soaring. Four days later, former
student leaders from the '88 era organized a series of rallies in
Rangoon, which drew hundreds of supporters. Even with most
activists now locked up or on the run, demonstrations have
continued to break out like spores across the nation. Buddhist
monks have marched by the hundreds in several cities, adding a
stamp of spiritual authority to the protest movement. University
students have gathered, too, along with sidelined politicians and
even some farmers. Human-rights groups estimate that more than 100
people have been arrested so far, including three bystanders in the
western city of Sittwe whose alleged crime was to offer drinking
water to a procession of protesting monks. On Sept. 3, a march from
the town of Labutta drew hundreds of supporters before security
forces broke up the rally. "If the regime doesn't resolve the
underlying economic problems — and I don't think it can
quickly — then things are not going to quiet down," says Khin
Ohmar, an '88 student leader who lives in exile in Thailand.
"We've all been waiting for the point when normal people overcome
their fear of the regime and rise up; this could be that
moment."
The big question is whether these scattered demonstrations will
lead to a replay of Burma's version of Tiananmen, when a nation
confronted its brutal military rulers only to be crushed by an iron
fist. Certainly, there are similarities between today's protest
movement and that of 1988. Although the previous strikes are now
glossed with a patina of democratic yearning, their initial
motivation was also economic. Back then, the military regime
demonetized the local currency, rendering millions of people's
savings worthless. Small groups began marching over a six-month
period, a stop-start effort that culminated in August 1988 with
tens of thousands of people thronging Rangoon's streets. But the
military quickly sent bullets into the crowds. By 1990, elections
won by future Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi's National League
for Democracy (NLD) had been ignored by the junta. Burma slunk back
into isolation.
This time around, the world, galvanized by blow-by-blow images
transmitted via cell phones and through the Internet, has taken
rapid notice of the protests and the subsequent crackdown. On Aug.
30, U.S. President George W. Bush condemned the junta's actions,
and White House aides have promised that Burma will be a "major
topic of discussion" at the APEC annual summit, which opened this
week in Sydney. A day later, U.S. First Lady Laura Bush, who has
personally followed the situation in Burma for years and has met
with many Burmese activists, called U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki
Moon to press for more action from the international body. "One
thing we can do to work toward national reconciliation in Burma is
for the Security Council to speak out formally," Mrs. Bush told
TIME. "Will that work? I don't know. But it's the least we can
do." The First Lady also praised efforts of other leaders like
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown, who has voiced forceful
criticism of Burma's generals. "It's important for governments to
put as much pressure on the military regime to listen to the
people," she said. "That's all these protesters are asking." Even
some of Burma's normally silent neighbors have piped up. In a
landmark statement last month, lawmakers from ASEAN, of which Burma
is a member, publicly castigated China for its continued support of
the regime. (Beijing's economic patronage has blunted the effect
of international sanctions imposed on the junta, punitive measures
that many Burmese support.) "We know the world is on our side now,"
says Aung Zaw, a former student activist who lives in northern
Thailand and edits a Burma-focused publication called the
Irrawaddy. "That moral support is very important for the people
back in Burma, who are risking their lives to fight the
regime."
The international outcry presumably has not gone unnoticed by
Burma's generals, who have unveiled their impression of political
reform — a variety they call "discipline-flourishing
democracy." On Sept. 3 the regime announced it had finally agreed
to basic guidelines for a new constitution, 14 years after the
generals summoned a national convention of handpicked delegates to
draft a new charter. (The junta suspended the previous constitution
in 1988.) But no timetable for elections has been set, nor is Suu
Kyi's NLD part of the political process. Indeed, the new
constitutional outline seems specifically designed to keep out Suu
Kyi, long seen as the only leadership alternative to the junta
despite her many years under house arrest. The national convention
demands that the Prime Minister's position, for instance, must be
held by someone with military experience, which Suu Kyi does not
have. "It's a sham process that only legalizes the military's
grip on power," says exiled dissident Khin Ohmar. "How can this be
called democracy?"
The economic front is no better. Roughly 90% of the population
lives near or below the poverty line, even though Burma is blessed
with lucrative resources like natural gas and timber. The
country's generals are hardly known for their financial savvy: one
former regime chief denominated bank notes by the number nine
simply because he considered the digit auspicious. Obsessed with
its survival, the junta has dramatically expanded the military; 40%
of the nation's annual budget is believed to be spent on the
450,000-strong army. Inflation is running at more than 30%. Last
month's fuel hike led to a tripling of bus fares on some routes,
leaving many of Rangoon's estimated 2.4 million commuters unable
to afford their ride to work. The prices of basic foodstuffs like
rice and eggs are also skyrocketing. "At this rate, even a meal
every day might become a luxury," says housekeeper May Oo, who now
spends 60% of her salary on her daily commute into Rangoon. Even
upper-middle-class families are cutting back. Say Phaw Waa, a law
student and daughter of a publishing-company executive, is
considering joining a distance-learning program so her family
won't have to shell out her bus fare to the university.
The hardships are made more painful by a widening wealth gap.
The country's military leaders are leading ever more ostentatious
lives, their wallets fattened by gas-pipeline deals with neighbors
China, Thailand and India. The ruling class cruises around in
luxury cars and cloisters itself in compounds ablaze with lights,
even as most Burmese face constant electricity rationing. A
samizdat video circulating in Rangoon shows junta chief Than
Shwe's daughter, decked out in jewels, getting married in a lavish
ceremony — this in a country where the average annual per
capita income is just $225. Even more galling, the junta turned a
thicket of jungle into a brand new administrative capital in late
2005, a project that doubtless cost hundreds of millions of dollars
to build. Today, Naypyidaw is an eerie landscape of broad, empty
streets framed by behemoth government ministries. "It's a complete
waste of money," says a senior journalist in Rangoon who asked not
to be named for fear of being arrested. "The same money could have
been used to meet the needs of the poor population."
The punishing economic situation may have one unexpected
benefit: it could re-energize Burma's hobbled opposition, a motley
crew of NLD politicians, '88-era student leaders and labor
activists. After the democracy movement was crushed 19 years ago,
many opposition leaders left for exile or went underground. Others,
like Suu Kyi or poet turned activist Min Ko Naing, were jailed for
long stretches. Burmese dissidents may have gained a martyr-like
fame abroad, but their grand ideals of freedom and democracy
resonated less with a public just struggling to feed itself. Yet in
recent months, the opposition has started addressing such
bread-and-butter issues more effectively — and that could
turn the current economic protests into a future base of political
support. "Most Burmese have only known dictatorship, so when you
talk about democracy it means nothing to them," says Mark Farmaner,
acting director of Burma Campaign U.K. "But the opposition is now
starting to explain, 'Democracy means accountability from leaders,
and that means that generals can't drive luxury cars while you
starve.' That message is striking a definite chord with the
population."
Public support is paramount for protest leaders who are now on
the run. "The wave of sympathy is in our favor," says one activist
who has so far escaped the police dragnet. "You knock on a door
late at night and whisper, 'Let me in, brother.' People willingly
help us, even though they're well aware of the dire consequences."
Still, the regime is doing its best to prevent further unrest and
capture any stray dissidents. Trucks full of hired thugs patrol
major street corners in Rangoon. The U.N. special rapporteur on
human rights in Burma, Paulo Sérgio Pinheiro, says he has
received reports that some of the arrested activists are being
tortured. Buses to Thailand, where many dissidents fled back in
'88, are being searched for activists on the run.
Despite the harsh condemnation from global leaders, no concrete
action has so far been taken by the international community. A
bipartisan team of U.S. lawmakers has written to U.S. Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice, urging her to call an emergency U.N.
Security Council meeting on Burma. Without firm action from bodies
like the U.N. or economic patrons like China, the members of
Congress fear that Burma's generals may very well keep up their
repressive ways, as they did back in '88. In the meantime,
Burma's underground activists are asking for continued resistance
from the nation's embattled populace. The latest effort, slated
for three evenings this month, instructs Burmese to bang on pots,
pans and other metal objects at 7:02 p.m., 8:01 p.m. and 9 p.m.
— all auspicious times that add up to the number nine so
beloved by Burma's military brass. Organizers hope the cover of
night will embolden more people to join the astrologically inspired
noise campaign. Burma's long-suffering citizens can only hope the
stars will finally align in their favor.
Source: TIME Magzine
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